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Trivela — football, by the numbers. Data: FotMob (xG), API-Football (clubs/fixtures), The Odds API (odds), Open-Meteo (weather), club press via Google News RSS. Headlines are attributed and linked to their sources; transfer items are rumors, not facts.

Betting content is informational only — never guaranteed advice.

Premier League · 2026-27 · Matchday 4

Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 BST · Villa Park, Birmingham

Aston Villa1–2Nottingham Forest

FINISHED

Timeline

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Goals, cards and subs appear as the feed ingests them.

Analysis

Recap · AI-generated from structured data

Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest: recap

Headline: Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest: recap

Final: Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest at Villa Park.

Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..

Preview · AI-generated from structured data

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Matchday 4 preview

Headline: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Matchday 4 preview

Aston Villa meet Nottingham Forest at Villa Park (Sep 12, 2026, 3:00 PM).

Likely Aston Villa XI: Zion Suzuki, Matty Cash, Victor Nilsson Lindelöf, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, Tyrone Mings, Ross Barkley, Boubacar Kamara, Lamare Bogarde, John McGinn, Emiliano Buendía, Nicolas Jackson.

Likely Nottingham Forest XI: Steven Benda, Ousmane Diomande, Neco Williams, Murillo, Jair Cunha, Nicolás Dominguez, Morgan Gibbs-White, Xaver Schlager, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Chris Wood, Igor Jesus.

Availability notes: Amadou Onana: injured; Leon Goretzka: injured; Brian Madjo: injured; Johan Manzambi: injured; Nicolò Savona: injured; Ibrahim Sangaré: injured.

Moneyline (decimal): Aston Villa 2.37, Draw 3.76, Nottingham Forest 3.91. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.

Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours Aston Villa; draw is live at these prices.

Team stats

No team stats

Stats arrive with the live-data feed.

Expected goals

xG: 0.73 – 1.62

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Shot map

Victor Nilsson Lindelöf (7′) — xG 0.44, xGOT 0.75 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayIan Maatsen (7′) — xG 0.12 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayIan Maatsen (8′) — xG 0.06, xGOT 0.07 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayJames McAtee (12′) — xG 0.01, xGOT 0.04 · AttemptSaved · SetPieceOusmane Diomande (16′) — xG 0.06 · Miss · SetPieceMorgan Gibbs-White (23′) — xG 0.05, xGOT 0.07 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayRoss Barkley (32′) — xG 0.02, xGOT 0.13 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayDan Ndoye (35′) — xG 0.08, xGOT 0.58 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayNeco Williams (45′) — xG 0.11 · Miss · ThrowInSetPieceLiam Delap (46′) — xG 0.02, xGOT 0.15 · Goal · RegularPlayDan Ndoye (50′) — xG 0.02 · Miss · RegularPlayLiam Delap (55′) — xG 0.07 · Miss · RegularPlayLiam Delap (58′) — xG 0.25 · Miss · RegularPlayDan Ndoye (59′) — xG 0.25 · Miss · RegularPlayDan Ndoye (61′) — xG 0.15 · AttemptSaved · FastBreakLiam Delap (61′) — xG 0.03 · Miss · RegularPlayDan Ndoye (69′) — xG 0.11 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayIbrahim Mbaye (73′) — xG 0.02, xGOT 0.18 · AttemptSaved · SetPieceAlysson Edward (74′) — xG 0.07, xGOT 0.08 · Goal · FromCornerJames McAtee (77′) — xG 0.02 · Miss · SetPieceLiam Delap (79′) — xG 0.02 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayLiam Delap (80′) — xG 0.03 · Miss · FastBreakDaniel Muñoz (85′) — xG 0.09, xGOT 0.71 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayXaver Schlager (86′) — xG 0.03, xGOT 0.10 · AttemptSaved · RegularPlayNeco Williams (86′) — xG 0.03 · Miss · RegularPlayIgor Jesus (88′) — xG 0.13, xGOT 0.89 · Goal · RegularPlayIbrahim Sangaré (90′) — xG 0.05 · Miss · RegularPlayMorgan Gibbs-White (90′) — xG 0.06 · Miss · FreeKickTyrone Mings (90′) — xG 0.07 · Miss · RegularPlay

Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail

Player xG

PlayerxGxAxGOTMinRating
Dan Ndoye · Nottingham Forest0.610.480.58—6.6
Victor Nilsson Lindelöf · Aston Villa0.440.010.75—5.8
Liam Delap · Nottingham Forest0.420.070.15—8.0
Ian Maatsen · Aston Villa0.180.020.07—6.6
Neco Williams · Nottingham Forest0.130.07——6.8
Igor Jesus · Nottingham Forest0.130.010.89—7.3
Daniel Muñoz · Nottingham Forest0.090.170.71—8.0
Tyrone Mings · Aston Villa0.07———6.6
Alysson Edward · Aston Villa0.07—0.08—7.1
Ousmane Diomande · Nottingham Forest0.06———7.5
Morgan Gibbs-White · Nottingham Forest0.050.990.07—8.3
Ibrahim Sangaré · Nottingham Forest0.050.01——6.0
Xaver Schlager · Nottingham Forest0.030.020.10—8.1
James McAtee · Nottingham Forest0.030.190.04—7.7
Ross Barkley · Aston Villa0.020.010.13—6.0
Ibrahim Mbaye · Aston Villa0.020.120.18—6.3
Chris Wood · Nottingham Forest————5.9
Matz Sels · Nottingham Forest————7.8
Marco Bizot · Aston Villa—————
John McGinn · Aston Villa—0.11——7.7
Emiliano Buendía · Aston Villa—0.01——6.0
Ola Aina · Nottingham Forest—0.01——7.3
Tammy Abraham · Aston Villa————6.0
John Victor · Nottingham Forest—————
Aaron Wan-Bissaka · Aston Villa—0.05——7.3
Ryan Yates · Nottingham Forest—————
Pau Torres · Aston Villa————6.0
Boubacar Kamara · Aston Villa—0.04——6.5
Nicolás Dominguez · Nottingham Forest—————
Callum Hudson-Odoi · Nottingham Forest—————
Matteo Ruggeri · Aston Villa—————
Zion Suzuki · Aston Villa————7.5
Arnaud Kalimuendo-Muinga · Nottingham Forest—————
Luca Netz · Nottingham Forest—————
Lamare Bogarde · Aston Villa—————
Nicolas Jackson · Aston Villa—0.04——6.0
Alejandro Garnacho · Aston Villa—————
Murillo · Nottingham Forest—0.01——8.2
Johan Manzambi · Aston Villa—0.02——6.0
George Hemmings · Aston Villa—0.01——6.4

Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →

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