Major League Soccer · 2026 · Matchday 18
Sat 1 Aug, 21:46 GMT-4 · TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
FC Cincinnati4–2San Jose Earthquakes
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes: recap
Headline: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes: recap
Final: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes at TQL Stadium.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Matchday 18 preview
Headline: FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Matchday 18 preview
FC Cincinnati meet San Jose Earthquakes at TQL Stadium (Aug 1, 2026, 7:30 PM).
Likely FC Cincinnati XI: Evan Louro, Alvas Elvis Powell, Gilberto Flores, Nick Hagglund, Miles Robinson, Obinna Nwobodo, Evander Ferreira, Samuel Gidi, Kévin Denkey, Kristian Fletcher, Tom Barlow.
Likely San Jose Earthquakes XI: Angus Gunn, Jamar Ricketts, David Romney, Daniel Munie, Jack Jasinski, Paul Marie, Ian Harkes, Ronaldo Vieira, Ousseni Bouda, Timo Werner, Jack Skahan.
Availability notes: Nonso Adimabua: injured; DeJuan Jones: injured; Niko Tsakiris: injured; Earl Edwards Jr.: injured.
Forecast at kickoff: thunderstorm, 23°C / 73°F (feels like 26°C / 78°F), 73% chance of rain.
Moneyline (decimal): FC Cincinnati 2.23, Draw 3.53, San Jose Earthquakes 3.67. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours FC Cincinnati; draw is live at these prices.
Expected goals
xG: 2.04 – 1.25
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenji Mboma Dem · FC Cincinnati | 0.58 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 70 | 7.2 |
| Preston Judd · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.54 | 0.04 | — | 90 | 6.6 |
| Kévin Denkey · FC Cincinnati | 0.33 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 89 | 7.3 |
| Daniel Munie · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.24 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 90 | 6.3 |
| Bryan Ramírez · FC Cincinnati | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.80 | 90 | 8.3 |
| Tom Barlow · FC Cincinnati | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.22 | 20 | 8.1 |
| Ayoub Jabbari · FC Cincinnati | 0.22 | — | 0.70 | 1 | — |
| Timo Werner · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.17 | 0.34 | 0.65 | 90 | 8.6 |
| Ian Harkes · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.17 | — | — | 45 | 6.5 |
| Pavel Bucha · FC Cincinnati | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 90 | 7.1 |
| Evander Ferreira · FC Cincinnati | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 90 | 9.3 |
| Obinna Nwobodo · FC Cincinnati | 0.12 | 0.09 | — | 89 | 8.2 |
| Benji Kikanovic · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.08 | 0.01 | — | 81 | 6.2 |
| Nick Fernandez · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.05 | 0.07 | — | 45 | 6.1 |
| Samuel Gidi · FC Cincinnati | 0.03 | 0.04 | — | 90 | 7.7 |
| Jamar Ricketts · San Jose Earthquakes | 0.01 | — | — | 30 | 6.6 |
| Alvas Elvis Powell · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nick Hagglund · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teenage Lingani Hadebe · FC Cincinnati | — | 0.01 | — | 20 | 6.3 |
| David Romney · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Vítor Costa · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | 60 | 6.5 |
| Ronaldo Vieira · San Jose Earthquakes | — | 0.02 | — | 81 | 7.1 |
| Kyle Smith · FC Cincinnati | — | 0.01 | — | 70 | 6.5 |
| Angus Gunn · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | 90 | 5.9 |
| Evan Louro · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miles Robinson · FC Cincinnati | — | 0.05 | — | 90 | 6.6 |
| Brian Anunga · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Paul Marie · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darius Johnson · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Montali · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Skahan · San Jose Earthquakes | — | 0.03 | — | 17 | 6.2 |
| Jack Jasinski · San Jose Earthquakes | — | 0.01 | — | 9 | — |
| Ender Echenique · FC Cincinnati | — | 0.14 | — | 88 | 7.5 |
| Roman Celentano · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | 90 | 6.0 |
| Ousseni Bouda · San Jose Earthquakes | — | 0.04 | — | 73 | 6.5 |
| Kristian Fletcher · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Jovanovic · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beau Leroux · San Jose Earthquakes | — | 0.02 | — | 90 | 6.2 |
| Reid Roberts · San Jose Earthquakes | — | — | — | 90 | 5.4 |
| Andrei Chirila · FC Cincinnati | — | — | — | — | — |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →