Liga MX · 2026-27 · Matchday 3
Sun 2 Aug, 19:05 GMT-6 · Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Toluca3–1Necaxa
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Toluca 3-1 Necaxa: recap
Headline: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa: recap
Final: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Toluca vs Necaxa: Matchday 3 preview
Headline: Toluca vs Necaxa: Matchday 3 preview
Toluca meet Necaxa at Estadio Nemesio Díez (Aug 2, 2026, 7:05 PM).
Likely Toluca XI: Hugo González, Diego Barbosa, Antonio Briseño, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Franco Romero, Víctor Guzmán, Nicolás Castro, Alexis Vega, Helinho, Iván López.
Likely Necaxa XI: Luis Jiménez, Emilio Martínez, Agustín Oliveros, Alexis Peña, Kaiky Naves, Kevin Gutiérrez, Danny Leyva, Lorenzo Faravelli, Julián Carranza, Rogelio Cortéz, Matías Espíndola.
Availability notes: Marcel Ruiz: injured; Kevin Rosero: injured; Oswaldo Virgen: injured.
Moneyline (decimal): Toluca 2.54, Draw 4.03, Necaxa 4.18. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours Toluca; draw is live at these prices.
Expected goals
xG: 1.51 – 1.32
TolucaNecaxa
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julián Carranza · Necaxa | 0.94 | 0.01 | 0.99 | 45 | 6.3 |
| Jesús Gallardo · Toluca | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.13 | 90 | 8.7 |
| Jorge Díaz · Toluca | 0.23 | 0.14 | — | 59 | 7.5 |
| Iván López · Toluca | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.77 | 59 | 8.3 |
| Everardo López · Toluca | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.61 | 90 | 8.0 |
| Alexis Vega · Toluca | 0.15 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 89 | 8.1 |
| Jesús Angulo · Toluca | 0.14 | 0.46 | 0.09 | 65 | 7.5 |
| Danny Leyva · Necaxa | 0.13 | 0.13 | — | 85 | 7.1 |
| Érick Gutiérrez · Toluca | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 65 | 7.1 |
| Emilio Rodríguez · Necaxa | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 90 | 6.5 |
| Víctor Guzmán · Toluca | 0.10 | 0.33 | — | 31 | 6.6 |
| Alexis Peña · Necaxa | 0.07 | — | — | 90 | 6.5 |
| Juan Torres · Necaxa | 0.05 | — | — | 45 | 6.0 |
| Federico Viñas · Toluca | 0.04 | 0.06 | — | 31 | 6.6 |
| Franco Romero · Toluca | 0.03 | 0.07 | — | 90 | 7.8 |
| Pável Pérez · Toluca | 0.03 | 0.33 | — | 25 | 6.8 |
| Matías Espíndola · Necaxa | 0.03 | — | — | 23 | 6.3 |
| Hugo González · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Faravelli · Necaxa | — | 0.04 | — | 67 | 6.4 |
| Antonio Briseño · Toluca | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luan · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis García · Toluca | — | — | — | 90 | 7.1 |
| Fernando Arce · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vargas · Necaxa | — | — | — | 45 | 6.0 |
| Bruno Méndez · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Helinho · Toluca | — | 0.19 | — | 25 | 6.9 |
| Agustín Oliveros · Necaxa | — | 0.01 | — | 80 | 5.4 |
| Ricardo Monreal · Necaxa | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Pereira · Toluca | — | 0.03 | — | 90 | 7.6 |
| Pedro Pedraza · Necaxa | — | — | — | 45 | 6.0 |
| Brian García · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Simón · Toluca | — | 0.14 | — | 90 | 7.1 |
| Kaiky Naves · Necaxa | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Pedroza · Necaxa | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Zaleta · Necaxa | — | — | — | 45 | 6.1 |
| Rogelio Cortéz · Necaxa | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Andrade · Necaxa | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Martínez · Necaxa | — | — | — | 90 | 5.6 |
| Javier Ruiz · Necaxa | — | 0.01 | — | 45 | 6.3 |
| Juan Valencia · Necaxa | — | 0.01 | — | 45 | 5.8 |
| Luis Jiménez · Necaxa | — | — | — | 90 | 6.4 |
| Francisco Méndez · Necaxa | — | — | — | 5 | — |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →