Liga MX · 2026-27 · Matchday 8
Sat 12 Sept, 17:05 GMT-6 · Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Toluca5–2Atlas
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Toluca 5-2 Atlas: recap
Headline: Toluca 5-2 Atlas: recap
Final: Toluca 5-2 Atlas at Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Toluca vs Atlas: Matchday 8 preview
Headline: Toluca vs Atlas: Matchday 8 preview
Toluca meet Atlas at Estadio Nemesio Díez (Sep 12, 2026, 5:00 PM).
Likely Toluca XI: Hugo González, Diego Barbosa, Antonio Briseño, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Franco Romero, Víctor Guzmán, Nicolás Castro, Alexis Vega, Helinho, Federico Viñas.
Likely Atlas XI: Camilo Vargas, Gustavo Ferrareis, Jorge Sánchez, Adrián Mora, Jorge Rodríguez, Mateo García, Gustavo del Prete, Luís Esteves, Ryan Mmaee, Agustín Rodríguez, Florián Monzón.
Availability notes: Édgar Zaldívar: injured; Santiago Simón: injured; Marcel Ruiz: injured; Iván López: injured.
Moneyline (decimal): Toluca 1.93, Draw 3.07, Atlas 3.2. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours Toluca; draw is live at these prices.
Expected goals
xG: 2.11 – 0.93
TolucaAtlas
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Vega · Toluca | 0.80 | 0.34 | 0.63 | 83 | 8.1 |
| Jesús Angulo · Toluca | 0.64 | 0.45 | 1.15 | 72 | 8.7 |
| Duk · Atlas | 0.38 | — | 0.56 | 45 | 7.2 |
| Paulinho · Toluca | 0.22 | 0.04 | 0.57 | 45 | 7.2 |
| Florián Monzón · Atlas | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.79 | 90 | 7.2 |
| Jesús Gallardo · Toluca | 0.17 | 0.04 | — | 90 | 6.5 |
| Federico Viñas · Toluca | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.31 | 45 | 7.4 |
| Luís Esteves · Atlas | 0.13 | 0.12 | — | 80 | 6.8 |
| Víctor Ríos · Atlas | 0.13 | 0.08 | — | 90 | 6.3 |
| Diego Barbosa · Toluca | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | 90 | 6.5 |
| Nicolás Castro · Toluca | 0.06 | 0.39 | — | 72 | 7.8 |
| Paulo Ramírez · Atlas | 0.05 | 0.02 | — | 45 | 6.3 |
| Gaddi Aguirre · Atlas | 0.03 | — | — | 90 | 5.2 |
| Helinho · Toluca | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 58 | 7.2 |
| Camilo Vargas · Atlas | — | — | — | 90 | 5.0 |
| Antonio Briseño · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arturo González · Atlas | — | 0.01 | — | 45 | 6.0 |
| Luan · Toluca | — | 0.01 | — | 7 | 6.7 |
| Víctor Guzmán · Toluca | — | — | — | 18 | 6.1 |
| Fernando Arce · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milton Valenzuela · Atlas | — | 0.04 | — | 90 | 5.7 |
| Jorge Sánchez · Atlas | — | 0.02 | — | 62 | 6.2 |
| Manuel Capasso · Atlas | — | — | — | 87 | 5.3 |
| Franco Romero · Toluca | — | 0.01 | — | 90 | 7.0 |
| Adrián Mora · Atlas | — | — | — | 3 | 6.1 |
| Bruno Méndez · Toluca | — | 0.03 | — | 90 | 7.8 |
| Juan Purata · Atlas | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Pereira · Toluca | — | 0.01 | — | 90 | 7.1 |
| Rivaldo Lozano · Atlas | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pável Pérez · Toluca | — | — | — | 18 | 5.9 |
| Antonio Sánchez · Atlas | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Rodríguez · Atlas | — | — | — | 90 | 5.6 |
| Ronaldo Beltrán · Toluca | — | — | — | 90 | 6.3 |
| Everardo López · Toluca | — | — | — | 32 | 6.4 |
| Oswaldo Virgen · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elías Montiel · Atlas | — | 0.31 | — | 28 | 6.7 |
| Jesús Serrato · Atlas | — | 0.01 | — | 10 | 6.5 |
| Sergio Hernández · Atlas | — | 0.01 | — | 45 | 6.6 |
| David Shrem · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Martín · Atlas | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Aceves · Toluca | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Gamboa · Atlas | — | — | — | — | — |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →