Championship · 2026-27 · Matchday 7
Sat 12 Sept, 12:30 BST · Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Derby County1–2Birmingham City
FINISHED
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City: recap
Headline: Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City: recap
Final: Derby County 1-2 Birmingham City at Pride Park Stadium.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Derby County vs Birmingham City: Matchday 7 preview
Headline: Derby County vs Birmingham City: Matchday 7 preview
Derby County meet Birmingham City at Pride Park Stadium (Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 PM).
Likely Derby County XI: Jacob Widell Zetterström, Sondre Klingen Langås, Charlie Taylor, Max Johnston, Joe Ward, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Sammie Szmodics, Carlton Morris, Andreas Weimann, Lars-Jørgen Salvesen.
Likely Birmingham City XI: James Beadle, Ethan Laird, Lee Buchanan, Christoph Klarer, Phil Neumann, Seung-Ho Paik, Max Bird, Taylor Gardner-Hickman, Carlos Vicente, August Priske, Demarai Gray.
Availability notes: Jhon Solís: injured; Marc Leonard: injured; Derry Murkin: injured; Matthew Clarke: injured; Rhian Brewster: injured; Patrick Agyemang: injured; Craig Forsyth: injured.
Moneyline (decimal): Derby County 1.97, Draw 3.14, Birmingham City 3.26. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours Derby County; draw is live at these prices.
Expected goals
xG: 0.95 – 3.02
Derby CountyBirmingham City
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seung-Ho Paik · Birmingham City | 0.94 | 0.12 | 0.99 | — | 7.5 |
| Luis Vázquez · Birmingham City | 0.75 | 0.01 | — | — | 6.4 |
| Carlos Vicente · Birmingham City | 0.49 | 0.01 | 0.86 | — | 8.3 |
| Sammie Szmodics · Derby County | 0.41 | 0.08 | — | — | 7.8 |
| Jay Stansfield · Birmingham City | 0.34 | 0.01 | 0.42 | — | 7.0 |
| August Priske · Birmingham City | 0.33 | — | — | — | 6.2 |
| Carlton Morris · Derby County | 0.17 | 0.04 | — | — | 6.2 |
| Bobby Clark · Derby County | 0.15 | 0.05 | 0.14 | — | 8.0 |
| Eiran Cashin · Derby County | 0.12 | 0.02 | — | — | 7.6 |
| Tomoki Iwata · Birmingham City | 0.10 | 0.02 | — | — | 7.3 |
| Ethan Laird · Birmingham City | 0.08 | 0.24 | 0.21 | — | 6.7 |
| Christoph Klarer · Birmingham City | 0.05 | — | 0.03 | — | 7.8 |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor · Derby County | 0.04 | 0.01 | — | — | 6.5 |
| Oscar Fraulo · Derby County | 0.03 | 0.05 | — | — | 6.6 |
| Joe Ward · Derby County | 0.02 | 0.24 | — | — | 7.6 |
| Alexander Cochrane · Birmingham City | 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.04 | — | 7.3 |
| Mohammed Fuseini · Derby County | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.44 | — | 6.7 |
| Ryan Allsop · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Taylor · Derby County | — | 0.01 | — | — | 6.0 |
| Marvin Ducksch · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Mowatt · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Vickers · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Hedges · Derby County | — | 0.47 | — | — | 6.5 |
| Bright Osayi-Samuel · Birmingham City | — | 0.01 | — | — | 7.9 |
| Ryan Nyambe · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dael Fry · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | 6.8 |
| Phil Neumann · Birmingham City | — | 0.06 | — | — | 7.1 |
| Kanya Fujimoto · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — |
| Liam Millar · Birmingham City | — | 0.46 | — | — | 8.4 |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström · Derby County | — | 0.01 | — | — | 7.3 |
| Lee Buchanan · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Sanderson · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sondre Klingen Langås · Derby County | — | 0.05 | — | — | 8.0 |
| Max Johnston · Derby County | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Lund Hansen · Birmingham City | — | — | — | — | 6.0 |
| Henrik Meister · Derby County | — | — | — | — | 5.8 |
| David Ozoh · Derby County | — | 0.03 | — | — | 6.5 |
| James Beadle · Birmingham City | — | 0.02 | — | — | 7.5 |
| Jhon Solís · Birmingham City | — | 0.04 | — | — | 6.7 |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →