Bundesliga · 2026-27 · Matchday 1
Sat 29 Aug, 15:30 CEST · MEWA ARENA, Mainz
Mainz 050–0Paderborn
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Mainz 05 0-0 Paderborn: recap
Headline: Mainz 05 0-0 Paderborn: recap
Final: Mainz 05 0-0 Paderborn at MEWA ARENA.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Mainz 05 vs Paderborn: Matchday 1 preview
Headline: Mainz 05 vs Paderborn: Matchday 1 preview
Mainz 05 meet Paderborn at MEWA ARENA (Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 PM).
Likely Mainz 05 XI: Alexander Schwolow, Fabio Gruber, Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Danny da Costa, Phillipp Mwene, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Phillip Tietz, Ransford Königsdörffer, William Bøving.
Likely Paderborn XI: Markus Schubert, Felix Götze, Jano ter Horst, Mattes Hansen, Niklas Mohr, Ruben Müller, Jonah Sticker, Santiago Castañeda, Oliver Batista Meier, Kennedy Okpala, Steffen Tigges.
Availability notes: Eric Martel: injured; Sven Michel: injured; Nyamekye Awortwie-Grant: injured; Paul Nebel: injured; Benedict Hollerbach: injured; Timur Gayret: injured; Silas Katompa Mvumpa: injured; Sebastian Klaas: injured.
Moneyline (decimal): Mainz 05 2.18, Draw 3.46, Paderborn 3.6. Implied (no-vig): 45% / 28% / 27%.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market favours Mainz 05; draw is live at these prices.
Expected goals
xG: 1.15 – 0.76
Mainz 05Paderborn
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurin Curda · Paderborn | 0.32 | 0.43 | — | 90 | 8.2 |
| Phillip Tietz · Mainz 05 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 90 | 7.1 |
| Jae-Sung Lee · Mainz 05 | 0.23 | 0.12 | — | 68 | 6.8 |
| Stefano Marino · Paderborn | 0.20 | 0.03 | — | 67 | 6.4 |
| Danny da Costa · Mainz 05 | 0.14 | 0.30 | — | 90 | 7.5 |
| Nadiem Amiri · Mainz 05 | 0.12 | 0.55 | — | 90 | 7.7 |
| Kaishu Sano · Mainz 05 | 0.11 | 0.12 | — | 90 | 7.5 |
| Steffen Tigges · Paderborn | 0.09 | — | — | 23 | 6.2 |
| Anthony Caci · Mainz 05 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 73 | 7.6 |
| Marvin Pieringer · Paderborn | 0.08 | 0.10 | — | 89 | 6.3 |
| Phillipp Mwene · Mainz 05 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 90 | 6.8 |
| Fabio Gruber · Mainz 05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | — | 90 | 7.3 |
| Raphael Obermair · Paderborn | 0.04 | 0.34 | — | 90 | 6.9 |
| Ransford Königsdörffer · Mainz 05 | 0.03 | — | — | 22 | 6.2 |
| Dominik Kohr · Mainz 05 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 80 | 7.1 |
| Laurin Ulrich · Paderborn | 0.02 | 0.02 | — | 75 | 5.6 |
| Jano ter Horst · Paderborn | 0.02 | 0.04 | — | 90 | 6.9 |
| Alexander Schwolow · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvan Widmer · Mainz 05 | — | 0.16 | — | 17 | 6.2 |
| Sheraldo Becker · Mainz 05 | — | 0.55 | — | 68 | 5.9 |
| Robin Zentner · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | 90 | 7.1 |
| Stefan Posch · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Baack · Paderborn | — | 0.01 | — | 15 | 6.0 |
| Markus Schubert · Paderborn | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lennard Maloney · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Batista Meier · Paderborn | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sota Kawasaki · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Noll · Paderborn | — | — | — | 90 | 7.8 |
| Gabriel Vidovic · Paderborn | — | 0.03 | — | 90 | 6.9 |
| Otto Ruoppi · Mainz 05 | — | 0.02 | — | 22 | 6.3 |
| Santiago Castañeda · Paderborn | — | 0.04 | — | 90 | 7.6 |
| Tjark Scheller · Paderborn | — | 0.04 | — | 90 | 7.6 |
| Mattes Hansen · Paderborn | — | 0.01 | — | 75 | 6.9 |
| Jonah Sticker · Paderborn | — | — | — | 15 | 6.1 |
| Deniz Zeitler · Paderborn | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Duric · Paderborn | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clemens Lippmann · Paderborn | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kacper Potulski · Mainz 05 | — | 0.01 | — | 10 | 6.4 |
| Niklas Mohr · Paderborn | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rael Nakuzola · Mainz 05 | — | — | — | — | — |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →