UEFA Nations League · 2026-27 · Matchday 1
Fri 25 Sept, 20:45 CEST · Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Italy0–2Belgium
FINISHED
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Italy 0-2 Belgium: recap
Headline: Italy 0-2 Belgium: recap
Final: Italy 0-2 Belgium at Stadio Olimpico.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Italy vs Belgium: Matchday 1 preview
Headline: Italy vs Belgium: Matchday 1 preview
Italy meet Belgium at Stadio Olimpico (Sep 25, 2026, 8:45 PM).
Forecast at kickoff: clear, 22°C / 71°F (feels like 19°C / 67°F).
Betting lines not yet available.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market is close; live tactical battle expected.
Expected goals
xG: 1.52 – 2.70
ItalyBelgium
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Moreira · Belgium | 0.91 | 0.04 | — | — | 6.7 |
| Mika Godts · Belgium | 0.85 | 0.58 | 0.80 | — | 8.1 |
| Moise Kean · Italy | 0.47 | 0.05 | 0.61 | — | 6.8 |
| Nicolas Raskin · Belgium | 0.46 | 0.01 | 0.65 | — | 6.6 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito · Italy | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.29 | — | 6.1 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo · Italy | 0.24 | 0.19 | — | — | 6.2 |
| Charles De Ketelaere · Belgium | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.10 | — | 8.2 |
| Giorgio Scalvini · Italy | 0.14 | 0.04 | — | — | 6.7 |
| Kevin De Bruyne · Belgium | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.26 | — | 8.4 |
| Alessandro Romano · Italy | 0.11 | 0.04 | — | — | 6.5 |
| Gianluca Mancini · Italy | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.03 | — | 6.4 |
| Davide Frattesi · Italy | 0.09 | — | — | — | 6.6 |
| Riccardo Calafiori · Italy | 0.08 | 0.08 | — | — | 6.9 |
| Maxim De Cuyper · Belgium | 0.06 | 0.01 | — | — | 7.5 |
| Youri Tielemans · Belgium | 0.05 | 0.04 | — | — | 7.2 |
| Dodi Lukébakio · Belgium | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.51 | — | 7.7 |
| Nathan Ngoy · Belgium | 0.04 | — | — | — | 6.9 |
| Hans Vanaken · Belgium | 0.03 | 0.01 | — | — | 6.6 |
| Nicolò Barella · Italy | 0.03 | 0.51 | — | — | 7.4 |
| Sandro Tonali · Italy | 0.03 | 0.04 | — | — | 6.5 |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi · Italy | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.02 | — | 7.3 |
| Timothy Castagne · Belgium | 0.01 | 0.21 | — | — | 6.9 |
| Romelu Lukaku · Belgium | — | — | — | — | 5.8 |
| Brandon Mechele · Belgium | — | — | — | — | 6.8 |
| Guglielmo Vicario · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rolando Mandragora · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma · Italy | — | — | — | — | 7.4 |
| Gianluca Scamacca · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jari De Busser · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maarten Vandevoordt · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Carnesecchi · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini · Italy | — | 0.10 | — | — | 6.1 |
| Arthur Theate · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Senne Lammens · Belgium | — | — | — | — | 8.0 |
| Roméo Lavia · Belgium | — | — | — | — | 6.2 |
| Zeno Debast · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mandela Keita · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Alì Zoma · Italy | — | 0.01 | — | — | 5.9 |
| Diego Coppola · Italy | — | 0.01 | — | — | 6.9 |
| Issa Doumbia · Italy | — | — | — | — | 6.5 |
| Michael Kayode · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matias Fernandez-Pardo · Belgium | — | — | — | — | 6.2 |
| Joaquin Seys · Belgium | — | — | — | — | — |
| Honest Ahanor · Italy | — | — | — | — | — |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →