UEFA Nations League · 2026-27 · Matchday 3
Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 EEST · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Estonia1–0Luxembourg
FINISHED
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Analysis
Recap · AI-generated from structured data
Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg: recap
Headline: Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg: recap
Final: Estonia 1-0 Luxembourg at A. Le Coq Arena.
Table implications: Updated standings reflect this result..
Preview · AI-generated from structured data
Estonia vs Luxembourg: Matchday 3 preview
Headline: Estonia vs Luxembourg: Matchday 3 preview
Estonia meet Luxembourg at A. Le Coq Arena (Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM).
Forecast at kickoff: overcast, 14°C / 58°F (feels like 14°C / 57°F).
Betting lines not yet available.
Angle to note (informational only, not betting advice): market is close; live tactical battle expected.
Expected goals
xG: 1.49 – 0.53
EstoniaLuxembourg
Shot map
Goal On target Off target / blockedcircle size ∝ xG · hover for detail
Player xG
| Player | xG | xA | xGOT | Min | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmus Peetson · Estonia | 0.71 | 0.02 | 1.07 | 90 | 8.2 |
| Kevor Palumets · Estonia | 0.28 | — | 0.42 | 72 | 6.8 |
| Omar Natami · Luxembourg | 0.24 | 0.03 | — | 90 | 7.2 |
| Patrik Kristal · Estonia | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.56 | 90 | 7.0 |
| Maksim Paskotši · Estonia | 0.12 | — | 0.06 | 90 | 7.5 |
| Timothé Rupil · Luxembourg | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 17 | 6.1 |
| Mattias Käit · Estonia | 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.51 | 80 | 7.2 |
| Karel Mustmaa · Estonia | 0.08 | — | 0.03 | 24 | 6.2 |
| Markus Poom · Estonia | 0.06 | 0.58 | — | 90 | 7.3 |
| Tomás Cruz · Luxembourg | 0.06 | 0.04 | — | 90 | 6.8 |
| Vincent Thill · Luxembourg | 0.05 | 0.08 | — | 73 | 6.9 |
| Sébastien Thill · Luxembourg | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 28 | 6.3 |
| Aiman Dardari · Luxembourg | 0.03 | 0.01 | — | 62 | 5.9 |
| Anthony Moris · Luxembourg | — | — | — | 90 | 8.7 |
| Joonas Tamm · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matvei Igonen · Estonia | — | — | — | 90 | 7.3 |
| Karol Mets · Estonia | — | 0.01 | — | 90 | 7.4 |
| Mihkel Ainsalu · Estonia | — | — | — | 10 | 6.3 |
| Marvin Martins · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Liivak · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Mahmutović · Luxembourg | — | — | — | 83 | 7.0 |
| Florian Bohnert · Luxembourg | — | 0.03 | — | 83 | 7.4 |
| Joseph Saliste · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Märten Kuusk · Estonia | — | — | — | 90 | 7.5 |
| Eric Veiga · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vahid Selimović · Luxembourg | — | 0.02 | — | 90 | 6.6 |
| Dirk Carlson · Luxembourg | — | 0.03 | — | 90 | 7.1 |
| Leandro Barreiro · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Tamm · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Kips · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattias Männilaan · Estonia | — | — | — | 66 | 6.1 |
| Karl Hein · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Soomets · Estonia | — | — | — | 18 | 6.4 |
| Mathias Olesen · Luxembourg | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Michael Schjønning-Larsen · Estonia | — | 0.12 | — | 90 | 7.4 |
| Eldin Džogović · Luxembourg | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Karl Andre Vallner · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erko Tõugjas · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sofiane Ikene · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robi Saarma · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Pereira Cardoso · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayson Videira · Luxembourg | — | 0.15 | — | 90 | 5.7 |
| Miguel Gonçalves · Luxembourg | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maksimilian Skvortsov · Estonia | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Duarte · Luxembourg | — | 0.01 | — | 62 | 6.5 |
| Hamza Kadamani · Luxembourg | — | 0.01 | — | 28 | 5.9 |
Data: FotMob xG · xG match centre →